PnL (30d)

−$341

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-12.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

12%

239W / 1,774L · 31 open

Win Return (30d)

12%

251W / 1,783L · 10 open

Trades (30d)

2,044

across 440 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$0.82

avg win $15 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.77

$1,116 won / $1,456 lost

Reward / Risk

3.65

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$65

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	11.9% 239W/1,774L	440	$3,719
🌤 Weather	0.0% 0W/120L	18	$31

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

38 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	5	1.000	$5.00	$3.05	+156.3%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	5	1.000	$5.00	$3.45	+222.4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.715	$3.58	$0.97	+37.5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.605	$3.02	$0.52	+21.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.565	$2.87	$-0.08	-2.6%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.565	$2.82	$0.47	+20.2%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.515	$2.58	$0.38	+17.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.505	$2.52	$0.07	+3.1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.485	$2.47	$-0.08	-3.0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.445	$2.27	$-0.08	-3.3%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.425	$2.12	$0.12	+6.2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.415	$2.12	$-0.13	-5.7%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.410	$2.10	$-0.10	-4.7%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.395	$1.98	$-0.12	-6.0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.395	$1.98	$0.02	+1.3%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.380	$1.95	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.385	$1.93	$-0.38	-16.3%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.380	$1.91	$0.01	+0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.340	$1.75	$0.05	+3.0%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.350	$1.75	$0.15	+9.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.325	$1.68	$0.13	+8.3%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.320	$1.65	$-0.15	-8.6%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.325	$1.62	$0.02	+1.6%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.285	$1.47	$-0.08	-5.0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.280	$1.40	$-0.10	-6.7%