PnL (30d)

+$2

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

99%

788W / 9L · 74 open

Win Return (30d)

99%

805W / 9L · 57 open

Trades (30d)

871

across 336 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.00

avg win $0 · loss $3

Profit Factor

1.11

$15 won / $13 lost

Reward / Risk

0.02

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	98.7% 2,695W/36L	1119	$13,892
🌤 Weather	100.0% 146W/0L	86	$834

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 5?	No	6	0.997	$5.54	$0.04	+0.7%
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 5?	No	6	0.997	$5.48	$0.22	+4.1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5?	No	5	1.000	$5.08	$0.08	+1.7%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.996	$5.03	$0.06	+1.1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5?	No	5	1.000	$5.00	$0.10	+2.0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 5?	No	5	0.998	$4.99	$0.04	+0.8%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on August 5?	No	5	0.998	$4.99	$0.14	+2.8%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.997	$4.99	$0.08	+1.7%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 5?	No	5	0.985	$4.98	$0.08	+1.5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on August 5?	No	4	1.000	$3.82	$0.02	+0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5?	Yes	2	0.980	$2.29	$0.09	+4.3%