PnL (30d)

+$4

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

99%

2,693W / 36L · 235 open

Win Return (30d)

99%

2,703W / 36L · 225 open

Trades (30d)

2,964

across 1,105 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.00

avg win $0 · loss $3

Profit Factor

1.05

$59 won / $56 lost

Reward / Risk

0.02

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$7

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	98.7% 2,693W/36L	1105	$13,712
🌤 Weather	99.4% 160W/1L	93	$847

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 5?	No	7	0.955	$6.37	$0.07	+1.2%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 5?	No	6	0.985	$6.37	$-0.03	-0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	7	0.950	$6.33	$-0.07	-1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 5?	No	5	0.995	$5.24	$0.24	+4.7%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 5?	No	5	0.997	$5.17	$0.17	+3.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.994	$5.07	$0.07	+1.4%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 5?	No	5	0.997	$5.03	$0.03	+0.7%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	5	0.996	$5.03	$0.03	+0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on August 5?	No	5	0.972	$5.00	$0.00	+0.1%