PnL (30d)

+$4,785

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$16

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+50.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

34%

28W / 55L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

33%

28W / 58L

Trades (30d)

86

across 42 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$119.63

avg win $626 · loss $72

Profit Factor

3.28

$6,883 won / $2,097 lost

Reward / Risk

8.65

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$29

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	31.2% 30W/66L	55	$11,829
⚽ Sports	59.1% 13W/9L	5	$1,297
🏛 Politics	—	3	$38

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	100	0.255	$25.56	$-24.44	-48.9%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	1,369	0.016	$21.91	$-8.22	-27.3%
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	222	0.065	$14.42	$-13.08	-47.6%
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	208	0.065	$13.54	$-11.46	-45.8%
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?	Yes	401	0.034	$13.44	$-11.37	-45.8%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	287	0.039	$11.21	$-13.79	-55.2%
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	68	0.095	$6.43	$-13.57	-67.9%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Philadelphia Phillies	10	0.515	$5.15	$-4.74	-47.9%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	175	0.018	$3.06	$-1.94	-38.8%
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	2,510	0.001	$1.26	$-23.74	-95.0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	1,000	0.001	$0.50	$-12.50	-96.2%
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	235	0.002	$0.35	$-2.15	-85.9%