PnL (30d)

+$4,112

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$21

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+38.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

31%

30W / 66L · 6 open

Win Return (30d)

29%

30W / 72L

Trades (30d)

102

across 55 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$82.23

avg win $533 · loss $76

Profit Factor

2.46

$6,929 won / $2,817 lost

Reward / Risk

7.00

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$29

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	31.2% 30W/66L	55	$11,829
⚽ Sports	59.1% 13W/9L	5	$1,297
🏛 Politics	—	3	$38

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	1,369	0.021	$28.76	$-1.37	-4.5%
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	100	0.255	$25.56	$-24.44	-48.9%
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	222	0.065	$14.42	$-13.08	-47.6%
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	208	0.065	$13.54	$-11.46	-45.8%
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?	Yes	401	0.032	$12.64	$-12.17	-49.1%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	287	0.038	$10.92	$-14.08	-56.3%
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	68	0.095	$6.43	$-13.57	-67.9%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Philadelphia Phillies	10	0.515	$5.15	$-4.74	-47.9%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	175	0.021	$3.74	$-1.26	-25.2%
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	2,510	0.001	$1.26	$-23.74	-95.0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	1,000	0.001	$0.50	$-12.50	-96.2%
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	235	0.002	$0.35	$-2.15	-85.9%