FortunatelyFestive
0x3cafe19c407342bc7cea21424e861c37038c6d8a
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
31%
13W / 29L
Trades (30d)
42
across 15 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,036 · all-time $1,990,675
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
1,636 |
0.865 |
$1,415.56 |
$8.18 |
+0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
2,182 |
0.615 |
$1,342.03 |
$-387.96 |
-22.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,348 |
0.845 |
$1,139.40 |
$98.40 |
+9.5% |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? |
Yes |
1,194 |
0.739 |
$882.14 |
$374.28 |
+73.7% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
354 |
0.945 |
$334.80 |
$27.74 |
+9.0% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
238 |
0.600 |
$142.77 |
$-70.30 |
-33.0% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? |
No |
125 |
0.888 |
$110.88 |
$10.94 |
+10.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
119 |
0.925 |
$109.61 |
$7.45 |
+7.3% |
| Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? |
No |
106 |
0.890 |
$94.24 |
$10.63 |
+12.7% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026? |
Yes |
1,110 |
0.076 |
$84.39 |
$-441.88 |
-84.0% |
| Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026? |
Yes |
549 |
0.092 |
$50.55 |
$-50.66 |
-50.1% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.925 |
$9.15 |
$0.15 |
+1.6% |
| Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026? |
Yes |
296 |
0.015 |
$4.59 |
$-15.41 |
-77.1% |