FortunatelyFestive
0x3cafe19c407342bc7cea21424e861c37038c6d8a
PnL (30d)
+$1,295
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1,051
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+16.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
92%
11W / 1L · 64 open
Win Return (30d)
41%
31W / 45L
Trades (30d)
76
across 20 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$647.35
avg win $1,545 · loss $251
Profit Factor
6.17
$1,545 won / $251 lost
Reward / Risk
6.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,036 · all-time $1,990,675
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
1,636 |
0.875 |
$1,431.93 |
$24.55 |
+1.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
2,182 |
0.615 |
$1,342.03 |
$-387.96 |
-22.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,348 |
0.835 |
$1,125.91 |
$84.92 |
+8.2% |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? |
Yes |
1,194 |
0.737 |
$879.15 |
$371.29 |
+73.1% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
354 |
0.945 |
$334.80 |
$27.74 |
+9.0% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
238 |
0.625 |
$148.72 |
$-64.35 |
-30.2% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? |
No |
125 |
0.888 |
$110.88 |
$10.94 |
+10.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
119 |
0.930 |
$110.21 |
$8.04 |
+7.9% |
| Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? |
No |
106 |
0.895 |
$94.76 |
$11.16 |
+13.3% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026? |
Yes |
1,110 |
0.071 |
$79.29 |
$-446.99 |
-84.9% |
| Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026? |
Yes |
549 |
0.092 |
$50.55 |
$-50.66 |
-50.1% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.925 |
$9.15 |
$0.15 |
+1.6% |
| Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026? |
Yes |
296 |
0.015 |
$4.59 |
$-15.41 |
-77.1% |