| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
141 |
0.735 |
$103.94 |
$30.61 |
+41.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
102 |
0.830 |
$85.02 |
$43.36 |
+104.1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
55 |
0.905 |
$49.52 |
$17.83 |
+56.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
275 |
0.155 |
$42.57 |
$-1.02 |
-2.3% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
43 |
0.895 |
$38.61 |
$11.97 |
+44.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
51 |
0.675 |
$34.32 |
$5.59 |
+19.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
35 |
0.962 |
$33.42 |
$7.13 |
+27.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
33 |
0.855 |
$28.31 |
$7.73 |
+37.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
211 |
0.110 |
$23.17 |
$-73.48 |
-76.0% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
32 |
0.715 |
$22.53 |
$2.28 |
+11.2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
64 |
0.255 |
$16.44 |
$-20.42 |
-55.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
71 |
0.170 |
$12.03 |
$-37.25 |
-75.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
10 |
0.940 |
$9.49 |
$3.39 |
+55.6% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.875 |
$9.15 |
$1.62 |
+21.5% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
Yes |
75 |
0.105 |
$7.91 |
$-17.66 |
-69.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
46 |
0.145 |
$6.74 |
$-14.68 |
-68.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.125 |
$6.31 |
$-0.25 |
-3.8% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
6 |
0.940 |
$5.99 |
$0.64 |
+11.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
41 |
0.145 |
$5.98 |
$-4.33 |
-42.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.845 |
$5.43 |
$0.93 |
+20.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
13 |
0.335 |
$4.28 |
$-0.57 |
-11.8% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
78 |
0.045 |
$3.50 |
$-16.72 |
-82.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
14 |
0.185 |
$2.56 |
$-5.76 |
-69.2% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
9 |
0.237 |
$2.18 |
$0.48 |
+28.4% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.875 |
$1.93 |
$0.63 |
+48.3% |