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Trader leaderboard/cas1111

cas1111

0x3b78bd6c83648052207dfbac180d0e9271c25ce6
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$19
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
34%
30W / 59L · 25 open
Win Return (30d)
43%
48W / 63L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
114
across 30 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$0.75
avg win $3 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.60
$28 won / $47 lost
Reward / Risk
1.07
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,847 · all-time $61,677

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 62.5% 674W/404L 528 $7,814
₿ Crypto 69.6% 32W/14L 39 $184
⚽ Sports 90.8% 69W/7L 36 $522
🏛 Politics 65.0% 13W/7L 22 $200
🎬 Culture 70.0% 7W/3L 7 $42
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $12

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 81 0.455 $36.72 $-7.33 -16.6%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No 73 0.375 $27.42 $-5.63 -17.0%
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? No 44 0.405 $17.67 $-3.09 -14.9%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes 25 0.675 $17.16 $1.06 +6.6%
LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs Zeu5 Esports 19 0.850 $15.82 $0.82 +5.5%
Game Handicap: Z5 (-1.5) vs 3v Team (+1.5) Zeu5 Esports 20 0.785 $15.80 $1.76 +12.6%
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No 16 0.968 $15.28 $0.28 +1.8%
LoL: HMBLE vs Aeterna Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season HMBLE 16 0.928 $14.74 $0.45 +3.2%
Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 15 0.994 $14.53 $0.31 +2.2%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? No 21 0.635 $13.61 $-1.39 -9.3%
LoL: Shark Attack vs DIA Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins DIA Ozarox Esports 18 0.735 $13.14 $-0.09 -0.7%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes 74 0.165 $12.21 $-6.89 -36.1%
LoL: NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS vs White Dragons (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage White Dragons 19 0.475 $9.13 $1.44 +18.7%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 14 0.603 $8.53 $-1.48 -14.8%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No 10 0.775 $7.60 $-0.05 -0.6%
Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs BoostGate Esports (+1.5) SU Esports 10 0.725 $7.53 $0.26 +3.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes 9 0.705 $6.32 $0.40 +6.8%
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? No 6 0.925 $5.24 $0.25 +5.1%
Trump out as President by August 31? No 5 0.993 $5.05 $0.01 +0.3%
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 5 0.934 $5.01 $0.18 +3.8%
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 5 0.986 $4.95 $0.49 +11.1%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No 5 0.964 $4.85 $0.02 +0.4%
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 5 0.935 $4.67 $-0.07 -1.6%
WLGaming Esports to win 2-0? Yes 6 0.685 $4.26 $0.09 +2.2%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 5 0.839 $4.19 $-0.80 -16.0%