Antonythong
0x3afb4b75b4936bfda30787cf5802ea3a0e7c0004
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$17
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-10.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
65%
13W / 7L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
75%
24W / 8L
Trades (30d)
32
across 7 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$4.32
avg win $6 · loss $8
Profit Factor
0.26
$6 won / $23 lost
Reward / Risk
0.77
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$24
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $808 · all-time $341,458
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
350 |
0.515 |
$180.25 |
$-1.75 |
-1.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
176 |
0.645 |
$113.47 |
$39.58 |
+53.6% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
100 |
0.184 |
$18.45 |
$-5.65 |
-23.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
19 |
0.835 |
$15.82 |
$1.04 |
+7.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
10 |
0.785 |
$7.80 |
$2.83 |
+57.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
18 |
0.215 |
$3.96 |
$-4.32 |
-52.2% |