PnL (30d)

+$715

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+19.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

57%

154W / 116L · 30 open

Win Return (30d)

60%

179W / 121L

Trades (30d)

300

across 54 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

+$14.90

avg win $48 · loss $32

Profit Factor

2.11

$1,357 won / $642 lost

Reward / Risk

1.51

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$29

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	57.0% 154W/116L	54	$7,158
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/19L	5	$245
⚽ Sports	100.0% 11W/0L	3	$3,194
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/4L	2	$10
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/12L	1	$205

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	350	0.515	$180.25	$-1.75	-1.0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	176	0.645	$113.47	$39.58	+53.6%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	100	0.184	$18.45	$-5.65	-23.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	19	0.835	$15.82	$1.04	+7.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	10	0.785	$7.80	$2.83	+57.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	18	0.215	$3.96	$-4.32	-52.2%