testingduringdev
0x39cab3872b624ceebcc37666f2b08f4609d17605
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-34.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
1W / 1L · 8 open
Win Return (30d)
44%
4W / 5L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
10
across 6 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$1.88
avg win $0 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.09
$0 won / $4 lost
Reward / Risk
0.09
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $842 · all-time $55,321
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
13 |
0.715 |
$9.31 |
$4.49 |
+93.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
34 |
0.165 |
$5.55 |
$1.18 |
+26.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4 |
0.775 |
$3.47 |
$0.87 |
+33.6% |
| Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
19 |
0.138 |
$2.56 |
$-0.20 |
-7.3% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
52 |
0.045 |
$2.32 |
$-9.40 |
-80.2% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.915 |
$0.92 |
$0.06 |
+6.4% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.054 |
$0.16 |
$-0.38 |
-70.3% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.003 |
$0.02 |
$-3.09 |
-99.4% |