PnL (30d)

+$28

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

44%

188W / 237L · 69 open

Win Return (30d)

43%

214W / 279L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

494

across 154 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.22

avg win $6 · loss $4

Profit Factor

1.10

$321 won / $292 lost

Reward / Risk

1.72

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$21

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	44.2% 188W/237L	154	$1,792
🎬 Culture	100.0% 9W/0L	3	$173
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/10L	2	$33
💵 Economy	—	2	$10
🤖 Tech	—	1	$2
🔬 Science	—	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	13	0.715	$9.31	$4.49	+93.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	34	0.165	$5.55	$1.18	+26.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	4	0.820	$3.68	$1.08	+41.4%
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	19	0.138	$2.56	$-0.20	-7.3%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	Yes	52	0.045	$2.32	$-9.40	-80.2%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1	0.915	$0.92	$0.06	+6.4%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	3	0.054	$0.16	$-0.38	-70.0%
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	Yes	7	0.003	$0.02	$-3.09	-99.4%