PnL (30d)

−$57

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-10.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

19%

3W / 13L · 52 open

Win Return (30d)

31%

20W / 44L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

68

across 35 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$4.73

avg win $12 · loss $10

Profit Factor

0.39

$36 won / $93 lost

Reward / Risk

1.17

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	52.8% 1,484W/1,326L	2037	$43,443
⚽ Sports	48.4% 88W/94L	117	$3,583
₿ Crypto	38.7% 72W/114L	49	$519
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$24
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$24

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	129	0.215	$27.80	$-47.20	-62.9%
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	5	0.958	$4.79	$0.11	+2.3%
Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	35	0.001	$0.02	$-17.63	-99.9%
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	30	0.001	$0.02	$-15.13	-99.9%
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	30	0.001	$0.02	$-15.13	-99.9%
Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	5	0.001	$0.00	$-2.50	-99.9%
Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	5	0.001	$0.00	$-2.50	-99.9%
Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	5	0.001	$0.00	$-2.50	-99.9%
Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	5	0.001	$0.00	$-2.50	-99.9%
Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	5	0.001	$0.00	$-2.50	-99.9%
Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	5	0.001	$0.00	$-2.50	-99.9%