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Trader

0x39b286cde7bfa4bca0158a950c29df75485b157c
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$59
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-7.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
124W / 249L · 10 open
Win Return (30d)
33%
126W / 253L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
383
across 138 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.44
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.55
$73 won / $132 lost
Reward / Risk
0.78
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$13
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $768 · all-time $180,196

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.8% 1,484W/1,326L 2037 $43,443
⚽ Sports 47.3% 79W/88L 106 $3,312
₿ Crypto 38.7% 72W/114L 49 $519
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $24
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $24

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 129 0.215 $27.80 $-47.20 -62.9%
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Yes 5 0.958 $4.79 $0.11 +2.3%
Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 35 0.001 $0.02 $-17.63 -99.9%
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 30 0.001 $0.02 $-15.13 -99.9%
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 30 0.001 $0.02 $-15.13 -99.9%
Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 5 0.001 $0.00 $-2.50 -99.9%
Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 5 0.001 $0.00 $-2.50 -99.9%
Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 5 0.001 $0.00 $-2.50 -99.9%
Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 5 0.001 $0.00 $-2.50 -99.9%
Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 5 0.001 $0.00 $-2.50 -99.9%
Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 5 0.001 $0.00 $-2.50 -99.9%