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Trader leaderboard/guanda1990

guanda1990

0x38fdf3f7be9580b6610441245974953d7d8bc6bb
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
57%
4W / 3L
Trades (30d)
7
across 7 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $100 · all-time $317,400

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 83.9% 26W/5L 41 $3,580
🏛 Politics 4 $251
₿ Crypto 4 $308
💵 Economy 4 $308

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 300 0.915 $274.50 $-2.50 -0.9%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.925 $185.00 $1.00 +0.5%
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No 200 0.905 $181.00 $35.00 +24.0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 200 0.845 $169.00 $9.00 +5.6%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 200 0.745 $149.00 $37.00 +33.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? No 146 0.964 $140.25 $6.33 +4.7%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? No 121 0.990 $119.73 $1.03 +0.9%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 120 0.977 $117.18 $6.78 +6.1%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 100 0.987 $98.65 $3.05 +3.2%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 100 0.963 $96.25 $0.65 +0.7%
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? No 100 0.950 $95.00 $4.00 +4.4%
Iran leadership change by September 30? No 100 0.945 $94.50 $2.50 +2.7%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 103 0.895 $92.19 $-1.54 -1.6%
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 95 0.930 $88.35 $0.95 +1.1%
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.882 $88.25 $12.55 +16.6%
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next? Yes 100 0.860 $86.00 $4.00 +4.9%
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 100 0.795 $79.50 $-1.50 -1.9%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.655 $65.50 $-5.50 -7.7%
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No 60 0.988 $59.25 $-0.03 -0.1%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 50 0.990 $49.48 $5.08 +11.4%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No 65 0.760 $49.40 $5.20 +11.8%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 50 0.930 $46.50 $0.50 +1.1%
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? No 50 0.895 $44.75 $4.75 +11.9%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 50 0.845 $42.25 $-1.25 -2.9%
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No 40 0.920 $36.80 $0.00 +0.0%