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Trader leaderboard/guanda1990

guanda1990

0x38fdf3f7be9580b6610441245974953d7d8bc6bb
PnL (30d)
−$95
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$25
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
84%
26W / 5L · 45 open
Win Return (30d)
88%
66W / 9L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
76
across 41 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$4.54
avg win $19 · loss $103
Profit Factor
0.77
$316 won / $412 lost
Reward / Risk
0.18
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $317,400

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 83.9% 26W/5L 41 $3,580
🏛 Politics 4 $251
₿ Crypto 4 $308
💵 Economy 4 $308

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 300 0.915 $274.50 $-2.50 -0.9%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.925 $185.00 $1.00 +0.5%
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No 200 0.895 $179.00 $33.00 +22.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 200 0.845 $169.00 $9.00 +5.6%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 200 0.745 $149.00 $37.00 +33.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? No 146 0.964 $140.25 $6.33 +4.7%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? No 121 0.988 $119.49 $0.79 +0.7%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 120 0.977 $117.18 $6.78 +6.1%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 100 0.987 $98.65 $3.05 +3.2%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 100 0.963 $96.25 $0.65 +0.7%
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? No 100 0.955 $95.50 $4.50 +4.9%
Iran leadership change by September 30? No 100 0.945 $94.50 $2.50 +2.7%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 103 0.890 $91.67 $-2.06 -2.2%
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 95 0.930 $88.35 $0.95 +1.1%
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.882 $88.25 $12.55 +16.6%
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next? Yes 100 0.880 $88.00 $6.00 +7.3%
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 100 0.795 $79.50 $-1.50 -1.9%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.635 $63.50 $-7.50 -10.6%
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No 60 0.988 $59.25 $-0.03 -0.1%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No 65 0.765 $49.73 $5.52 +12.5%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 50 0.988 $49.38 $4.97 +11.2%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 50 0.930 $46.50 $0.50 +1.1%
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? No 50 0.895 $44.75 $4.75 +11.9%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 50 0.845 $42.25 $-1.25 -2.9%
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No 40 0.920 $36.80 $0.00 +0.0%