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Trader

0x38266db1174da047028b5343180cca0d02002bc7
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
100%
3W / 0L
Trades (30d)
3
across 3 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,074 · all-time $46,209

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 40.8% 141W/205L 142 $2,968
🏛 Politics 52.8% 28W/25L 17 $685
🎬 Culture 94.4% 17W/1L 5 $138
💵 Economy 38.5% 5W/8L 4 $36
🌤 Weather 1 $1
🔬 Science 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

88 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 69 0.962 $66.80 $-0.39 -0.6%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 52 0.685 $35.68 $4.28 +13.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 130 0.245 $31.83 $-1.67 -5.0%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 33 0.865 $28.79 $1.29 +4.7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 24 0.845 $20.22 $2.89 +16.7%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 7 0.947 $6.83 $1.83 +36.6%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 6 0.984 $6.35 $0.42 +7.2%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? No 6 0.989 $6.30 $0.68 +12.1%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 24 0.255 $6.03 $-4.80 -44.3%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes 36 0.135 $4.91 $-1.09 -18.1%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 8 0.607 $4.71 $-1.47 -23.7%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 12 0.353 $4.41 $0.41 +10.3%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 7 0.646 $4.39 $0.65 +17.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 28 0.155 $4.34 $-21.12 -82.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 5 0.845 $4.02 $3.02 +302.4%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes 39 0.095 $3.75 $-5.87 -61.0%
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 4 0.966 $3.50 $-0.01 -0.4%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No 4 0.955 $3.38 $-0.05 -1.6%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes 6 0.606 $3.35 $1.20 +56.0%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? Yes 4 0.740 $3.30 $-0.46 -12.2%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes 15 0.205 $3.14 $-2.86 -47.6%
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? Yes 3 0.920 $3.03 $1.03 +51.5%
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes 3 0.800 $2.77 $-0.23 -7.8%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes 19 0.135 $2.56 $-1.89 -42.5%
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes 3 0.905 $2.40 $0.07 +2.8%