| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
69 |
0.963 |
$66.87 |
$-0.32 |
-0.5% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
52 |
0.685 |
$35.68 |
$4.28 |
+13.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
130 |
0.245 |
$31.83 |
$-1.67 |
-5.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
33 |
0.865 |
$28.79 |
$1.29 |
+4.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
24 |
0.835 |
$19.98 |
$2.65 |
+15.3% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.940 |
$6.78 |
$1.78 |
+35.7% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
6 |
0.979 |
$6.32 |
$0.39 |
+6.6% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.990 |
$6.30 |
$0.68 |
+12.1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
24 |
0.255 |
$6.03 |
$-4.80 |
-44.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
28 |
0.205 |
$5.74 |
$-19.72 |
-77.4% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
8 |
0.603 |
$4.69 |
$-1.49 |
-24.2% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
Yes |
36 |
0.125 |
$4.55 |
$-1.45 |
-24.2% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
12 |
0.356 |
$4.45 |
$0.45 |
+11.2% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
7 |
0.643 |
$4.37 |
$0.63 |
+17.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.795 |
$3.79 |
$2.79 |
+278.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
Yes |
39 |
0.095 |
$3.75 |
$-5.87 |
-61.0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
4 |
0.966 |
$3.50 |
$-0.01 |
-0.4% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? |
No |
4 |
0.954 |
$3.38 |
$-0.06 |
-1.7% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
Yes |
6 |
0.606 |
$3.35 |
$1.20 |
+56.0% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
Yes |
4 |
0.730 |
$3.26 |
$-0.50 |
-13.4% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
15 |
0.210 |
$3.22 |
$-2.78 |
-46.4% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.930 |
$3.06 |
$1.06 |
+53.2% |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? |
Yes |
3 |
0.798 |
$2.76 |
$-0.24 |
-8.1% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
19 |
0.130 |
$2.47 |
$-1.98 |
-44.6% |
| Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.905 |
$2.40 |
$0.07 |
+2.8% |