trader-37eaa826
0x37eaa826696ed89747396f47f4932bb58d2c6cb9
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$40
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-28.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
10W / 5L
Win Return (30d)
67%
10W / 5L
Trades (30d)
15
across 9 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$4.44
avg win $4 · loss $14
Profit Factor
0.31
$18 won / $58 lost
Reward / Risk
0.25
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$25
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,101 · all-time $151,606
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
104 |
0.195 |
$20.31 |
$-13.29 |
-39.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
21 |
0.920 |
$18.86 |
$1.23 |
+7.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
40 |
0.050 |
$2.00 |
$-15.50 |
-88.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
Yes |
3 |
0.070 |
$0.20 |
$-1.25 |
-86.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
No |
46 |
0.001 |
$0.02 |
$-13.37 |
-99.8% |