PnL (30d)

−$141

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$25

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-8.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

56%

137W / 108L · 62 open

Win Return (30d)

52%

157W / 146L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

307

across 94 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$1.70

avg win $12 · loss $12

Profit Factor

0.75

$433 won / $575 lost

Reward / Risk

0.94

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$127

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	55.9% 137W/108L	94	$3,206
⚽ Sports	33.3% 2W/4L	4	$151
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$25
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$25

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	104	0.195	$20.31	$-13.29	-39.6%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	21	0.930	$19.07	$1.44	+8.1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	No	40	0.050	$2.00	$-15.50	-88.6%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	Yes	3	0.060	$0.17	$-1.28	-88.2%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	No	46	0.001	$0.02	$-13.37	-99.8%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner	Nongshim Red Force	25	0.001	$0.01	$-8.74	-99.9%