PnL (30d)

−$1,551

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$48

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-9.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

39%

812W / 1,257L · 22 open

Win Return (30d)

40%

829W / 1,260L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

2,091

across 377 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$4.19

avg win $28 · loss $21

Profit Factor

0.69

$3,492 won / $5,043 lost

Reward / Risk

1.34

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$376

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	39.2% 812W/1,257L	377	$30,259
🌤 Weather	22.6% 42W/144L	39	$2,394

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 6?	No	153	0.745	$114.09	$-2.30	-2.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	468	0.015	$7.02	$-21.70	-75.6%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-3.00	-96.8%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	25	0.001	$0.01	$-3.91	-99.7%