PnL (30d)

−$2

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 1L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

88%

7W / 1L

Trades (30d)

8

across 2 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$2.48

· loss $2

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $2 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	12.5% 1W/7L	21	$101
💵 Economy	—	1	$19
🤖 Tech	—	1	$19

Open positions

32 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,279	0.085	$108.75	$-31.00	-22.2%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	80	0.675	$54.01	$2.06	+4.0%
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	Yes	518	0.075	$38.88	$-38.83	-50.0%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	199	0.150	$30.00	$-3.02	-9.1%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	No	25	0.955	$24.04	$7.28	+43.4%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	286	0.070	$19.88	$-8.94	-31.0%
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	No	20	0.921	$18.42	$1.77	+10.6%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	28	0.585	$16.27	$-2.88	-15.0%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	43	0.315	$13.51	$-0.67	-4.7%
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?	Yes	107	0.095	$10.15	$-5.25	-34.1%
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	79	0.125	$9.91	$2.30	+30.2%
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	92	0.105	$9.69	$-5.76	-37.3%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	12	0.815	$9.44	$0.69	+7.8%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	17	0.510	$8.86	$2.20	+33.1%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	22	0.395	$8.60	$-2.25	-20.7%
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?	Yes	18	0.475	$8.59	$1.72	+25.1%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	No	10	0.725	$7.24	$1.70	+30.6%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	Yes	72	0.091	$6.55	$0.96	+17.1%
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	43	0.145	$6.19	$-1.30	-17.3%
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Yes	41	0.125	$5.15	$1.50	+41.0%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	No	5	0.885	$4.44	$0.83	+22.9%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A	BetBoom Team	8	0.500	$4.18	$-0.32	-7.0%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	5	0.825	$4.12	$0.27	+7.1%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	46	0.075	$3.48	$-1.70	-32.8%
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?	Yes	6	0.565	$3.44	$1.06	+44.9%