| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,279 |
0.085 |
$108.75 |
$-31.00 |
-22.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
80 |
0.665 |
$53.21 |
$1.26 |
+2.4% |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? |
Yes |
518 |
0.075 |
$38.88 |
$-38.83 |
-50.0% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
199 |
0.150 |
$30.00 |
$-3.02 |
-9.1% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
No |
25 |
0.955 |
$24.04 |
$7.28 |
+43.4% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
286 |
0.069 |
$19.74 |
$-9.08 |
-31.5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? |
No |
20 |
0.922 |
$18.44 |
$1.79 |
+10.8% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
28 |
0.585 |
$16.27 |
$-2.88 |
-15.0% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
No |
43 |
0.315 |
$13.51 |
$-0.67 |
-4.7% |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? |
Yes |
107 |
0.095 |
$10.15 |
$-5.25 |
-34.1% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
Yes |
92 |
0.110 |
$10.15 |
$-5.30 |
-34.3% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
Yes |
79 |
0.125 |
$9.91 |
$2.30 |
+30.2% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.815 |
$9.44 |
$0.69 |
+7.8% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
17 |
0.522 |
$9.07 |
$2.41 |
+36.2% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
22 |
0.395 |
$8.60 |
$-2.25 |
-20.7% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? |
Yes |
18 |
0.475 |
$8.59 |
$1.72 |
+25.1% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
No |
10 |
0.725 |
$7.24 |
$1.70 |
+30.6% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? |
Yes |
72 |
0.090 |
$6.48 |
$0.89 |
+15.8% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
43 |
0.145 |
$6.19 |
$-1.30 |
-17.3% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
41 |
0.125 |
$5.15 |
$1.50 |
+41.0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? |
No |
5 |
0.885 |
$4.44 |
$0.83 |
+22.9% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A |
BetBoom Team |
8 |
0.500 |
$4.18 |
$-0.32 |
-7.0% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.825 |
$4.12 |
$0.27 |
+7.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
46 |
0.075 |
$3.48 |
$-1.70 |
-32.8% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? |
Yes |
6 |
0.565 |
$3.44 |
$1.06 |
+44.9% |