| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
416 |
0.475 |
$197.83 |
$-55.27 |
-21.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5? |
Yes |
204 |
0.835 |
$170.61 |
$25.54 |
+17.6% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
164 |
0.987 |
$162.08 |
$1.23 |
+0.8% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
302 |
0.535 |
$161.41 |
$-1.51 |
-0.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 5? |
No |
115 |
1.000 |
$114.63 |
$114.63 |
+0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 5? |
No |
95 |
1.000 |
$94.47 |
$0.43 |
+0.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 5? |
No |
90 |
1.000 |
$89.56 |
$6.23 |
+7.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 5? |
No |
90 |
1.000 |
$89.56 |
$0.04 |
+0.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 5? |
No |
90 |
1.000 |
$89.56 |
$0.19 |
+0.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? |
No |
89 |
1.000 |
$89.26 |
$23.17 |
+35.1% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
74 |
0.988 |
$72.79 |
$-0.04 |
-0.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 5? |
No |
58 |
1.000 |
$57.49 |
$4.54 |
+8.6% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
80 |
0.580 |
$46.63 |
$46.63 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
44 |
0.988 |
$43.16 |
$-0.11 |
-0.3% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
No |
29 |
0.695 |
$20.17 |
$9.21 |
+84.0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Premier League next? |
No |
19 |
1.000 |
$18.90 |
$0.01 |
+0.0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next? |
No |
19 |
0.999 |
$18.89 |
$18.89 |
+0.0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in MLS next? |
No |
19 |
0.999 |
$18.88 |
$18.88 |
+0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5? |
Yes |
193 |
0.090 |
$17.39 |
$-21.10 |
-54.8% |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in La Liga next? |
No |
17 |
0.998 |
$17.00 |
$17.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
No |
21 |
0.775 |
$16.40 |
$16.40 |
+0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 5? |
No |
13 |
1.000 |
$12.99 |
$12.99 |
+0.0% |
| Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
11 |
0.983 |
$10.72 |
$10.72 |
+0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5? |
Yes |
185 |
0.055 |
$10.18 |
$-6.48 |
-38.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 5? |
No |
5 |
0.999 |
$5.17 |
$5.17 |
+0.0% |