| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
265 |
0.987 |
$261.23 |
$1.99 |
+0.8% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
517 |
0.475 |
$245.57 |
$2.58 |
+1.1% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
402 |
0.535 |
$215.17 |
$-2.01 |
-0.9% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
174 |
0.988 |
$172.04 |
$-0.09 |
-0.1% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
144 |
0.988 |
$142.41 |
$-0.07 |
-0.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5? |
Yes |
136 |
0.985 |
$134.42 |
$8.87 |
+7.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 5? |
No |
115 |
1.000 |
$114.63 |
$114.63 |
+0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 5? |
No |
95 |
1.000 |
$94.47 |
$0.43 |
+0.5% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
80 |
0.585 |
$47.04 |
$47.04 |
+0.0% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
No |
29 |
0.695 |
$20.17 |
$9.21 |
+84.0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Premier League next? |
No |
19 |
1.000 |
$18.90 |
$0.01 |
+0.0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next? |
No |
19 |
0.999 |
$18.89 |
$18.89 |
+0.0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in MLS next? |
No |
19 |
0.999 |
$18.88 |
$18.88 |
+0.0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in La Liga next? |
No |
17 |
0.998 |
$17.00 |
$17.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
No |
21 |
0.775 |
$16.40 |
$16.40 |
+0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 5? |
No |
13 |
1.000 |
$12.99 |
$12.99 |
+0.0% |
| Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
11 |
0.981 |
$10.70 |
$10.70 |
+0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5? |
Yes |
134 |
0.046 |
$6.18 |
$-1.88 |
-23.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 5? |
No |
5 |
0.999 |
$5.17 |
$5.17 |
+0.0% |
| Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
24 |
0.165 |
$4.00 |
$4.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.353 |
$3.54 |
$3.54 |
+0.0% |
| Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.909 |
$1.81 |
$1.81 |
+0.0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
2 |
0.849 |
$1.70 |
$1.70 |
+0.0% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027? |
Yes |
5 |
0.125 |
$0.62 |
$0.62 |
+0.0% |
| Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.060 |
$0.60 |
$0.60 |
+0.0% |