PnL (30d)

−$133

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$29

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-10.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

26%

221W / 642L · 83 open

Win Return (30d)

24%

227W / 719L

Trades (30d)

946

across 184 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$0.77

avg win $7 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.67

$268 won / $401 lost

Reward / Risk

2.35

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$129

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	27.3% 932W/2,480L	635	$10,154
🌤 Weather	21.7% 107W/385L	100	$1,099

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 5?	No	5	1.000	$4.98	$2.39	+92.2%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	4	1.000	$4.36	$3.63	+499.1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	19	0.001	$0.02	$-4.98	-99.6%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	23	0.001	$0.01	$-2.49	-99.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	4	0.001	$0.00	$-0.18	-99.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	3	0.001	$0.00	$-0.60	-99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 5?	Yes	1	0.001	$0.00	$-0.01	-94.8%