PnL (30d)

+$69

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$37

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

27%

932W / 2,470L · 184 open

Win Return (30d)

27%

974W / 2,597L · 15 open

Trades (30d)

3,586

across 635 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

+$0.12

avg win $10 · loss $3

Profit Factor

1.05

$1,569 won / $1,500 lost

Reward / Risk

2.79

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$245

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	27.4% 932W/2,470L	635	$10,154
🌤 Weather	23.1% 116W/386L	102	$1,156

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 5?	No	5	1.000	$4.98	$2.39	+92.2%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	4	0.999	$4.35	$3.63	+498.5%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.015	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	19	0.050	$0.96	$-4.04	-80.8%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5?	Yes	59	0.001	$0.03	$-2.74	-98.9%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	23	0.001	$0.01	$-2.49	-99.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	4	0.001	$0.00	$-0.18	-98.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5?	No	4	0.001	$0.00	$-1.04	-99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	3	0.001	$0.00	$-0.60	-99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 5?	Yes	1	0.001	$0.00	$-0.01	-94.8%