Trader
0x35ef9cf6822f1c67961e9a5ea12afc4ea4491dd4
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$30
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$10
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
4W / 0L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
78%
7W / 2L
Trades (30d)
9
across 5 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$15.02
avg win $15
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $29,420
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
1,279 |
0.920 |
$1,176.28 |
$185.17 |
+18.7% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? |
No |
384 |
0.875 |
$335.91 |
$26.71 |
+8.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
268 |
0.981 |
$262.76 |
$12.76 |
+5.1% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? |
No |
224 |
0.795 |
$178.29 |
$39.97 |
+28.9% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
955 |
0.114 |
$108.40 |
$-163.69 |
-60.2% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
192 |
0.375 |
$72.12 |
$-27.88 |
-27.9% |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.964 |
$5.06 |
$0.06 |
+1.2% |