Trader
0x35ef9cf6822f1c67961e9a5ea12afc4ea4491dd4
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$239
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-32.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
4W / 3L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
6W / 5L
Trades (30d)
11
across 7 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$59.81
avg win $15 · loss $135
Profit Factor
0.11
$31 won / $270 lost
Reward / Risk
0.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $29,420
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
1,279 |
0.920 |
$1,176.28 |
$185.17 |
+18.7% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? |
No |
384 |
0.875 |
$335.91 |
$26.71 |
+8.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
268 |
0.982 |
$263.03 |
$13.03 |
+5.2% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? |
No |
224 |
0.795 |
$178.29 |
$39.97 |
+28.9% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
955 |
0.114 |
$108.40 |
$-163.69 |
-60.2% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
192 |
0.375 |
$72.12 |
$-27.88 |
-27.9% |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.964 |
$5.06 |
$0.06 |
+1.2% |