| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
6,329 |
0.835 |
$5,284.81 |
$528.51 |
+11.1% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
2,797 |
0.625 |
$1,748.35 |
$-258.74 |
-12.9% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? |
No |
1,555 |
0.730 |
$1,135.43 |
$-44.39 |
-3.8% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
931 |
0.955 |
$889.39 |
$29.58 |
+3.4% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
1,012 |
0.520 |
$526.42 |
$-9.89 |
-1.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
773 |
0.620 |
$479.15 |
$61.38 |
+14.7% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.991 |
$396.40 |
$5.60 |
+1.4% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
475 |
0.715 |
$339.65 |
$45.37 |
+15.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
944 |
0.350 |
$330.54 |
$-87.19 |
-20.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,155 |
0.245 |
$283.08 |
$-75.10 |
-21.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? |
Yes |
1,861 |
0.125 |
$232.63 |
$-43.41 |
-15.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
1,401 |
0.155 |
$217.20 |
$30.36 |
+16.3% |
| Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
200 |
0.925 |
$185.00 |
$3.00 |
+1.6% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.865 |
$173.01 |
$111.00 |
+179.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,464 |
0.117 |
$170.55 |
$-26.30 |
-13.4% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? |
No |
168 |
0.984 |
$164.80 |
$3.79 |
+2.4% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? |
No |
180 |
0.905 |
$163.08 |
$-0.90 |
-0.5% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
259 |
0.600 |
$155.41 |
$0.22 |
+0.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
330 |
0.447 |
$147.37 |
$-14.47 |
-8.9% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
121 |
0.949 |
$114.86 |
$4.10 |
+3.7% |
| Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? |
No |
109 |
0.745 |
$80.95 |
$15.11 |
+22.9% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? |
Yes |
290 |
0.275 |
$79.66 |
$21.73 |
+37.5% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
78 |
0.970 |
$75.33 |
$5.24 |
+7.5% |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage? |
No |
75 |
0.979 |
$73.87 |
$-0.04 |
-0.1% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? |
Yes |
441 |
0.115 |
$50.68 |
$-12.66 |
-20.0% |