| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
6,329 |
0.835 |
$5,284.81 |
$528.51 |
+11.1% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
2,797 |
0.625 |
$1,748.35 |
$-258.74 |
-12.9% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? |
No |
1,555 |
0.735 |
$1,143.21 |
$-36.61 |
-3.1% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
931 |
0.955 |
$889.39 |
$29.58 |
+3.4% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
1,012 |
0.530 |
$536.55 |
$0.23 |
+0.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
773 |
0.605 |
$467.56 |
$49.79 |
+11.9% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.991 |
$396.20 |
$5.40 |
+1.4% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
475 |
0.715 |
$339.65 |
$45.37 |
+15.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
944 |
0.350 |
$330.54 |
$-87.19 |
-20.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,155 |
0.250 |
$288.86 |
$-69.33 |
-19.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
1,401 |
0.165 |
$231.21 |
$44.37 |
+23.8% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? |
Yes |
1,841 |
0.125 |
$230.13 |
$-43.31 |
-15.8% |
| Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
200 |
0.925 |
$185.00 |
$3.00 |
+1.6% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.865 |
$173.01 |
$111.00 |
+179.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,464 |
0.117 |
$170.55 |
$-26.30 |
-13.4% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? |
No |
168 |
0.984 |
$164.80 |
$3.79 |
+2.4% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
259 |
0.635 |
$164.47 |
$9.29 |
+6.0% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? |
No |
180 |
0.905 |
$163.08 |
$-0.90 |
-0.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
330 |
0.458 |
$150.99 |
$-10.85 |
-6.7% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
121 |
0.948 |
$114.80 |
$4.04 |
+3.6% |
| Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? |
No |
109 |
0.745 |
$80.95 |
$15.11 |
+22.9% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? |
Yes |
290 |
0.275 |
$79.66 |
$21.73 |
+37.5% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
78 |
0.970 |
$75.33 |
$5.24 |
+7.5% |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage? |
No |
75 |
0.979 |
$73.87 |
$-0.04 |
-0.1% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? |
Yes |
441 |
0.105 |
$46.27 |
$-17.07 |
-27.0% |