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Trader leaderboard/sand1

sand1

0x34d0f35dee283bb7272f59220818007a6af4264e
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$45
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+13.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
79%
19W / 5L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
76%
19W / 6L
Trades (30d)
25
across 10 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$4.95
avg win $9 · loss $31
Profit Factor
2.45
$75 won / $31 lost
Reward / Risk
0.31
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $549 · all-time $82,067

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.4% 76W/29L 54 $4,478
🤖 Tech 80.0% 4W/1L 4 $77

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? Yes 1,100 0.928 $1,021.34 $-16.13 -1.6%
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? No 100 0.916 $91.60 $5.60 +6.5%
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026? Yes 100 0.805 $80.50 $7.50 +10.3%
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? No 50 0.999 $49.92 $0.90 +1.8%
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? No 40 0.865 $34.60 $-0.60 -1.7%
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No 30 0.915 $27.45 $0.15 +0.5%
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? No 20 1.000 $19.99 $0.15 +0.8%
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No 20 0.940 $18.79 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No 20 0.885 $17.70 $-0.50 -2.7%
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No 20 0.815 $16.30 $-1.70 -9.5%
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? Yes 20 0.770 $15.40 $5.60 +57.1%
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No 20 0.700 $14.00 $0.20 +1.4%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes 20 0.465 $9.30 $-1.30 -12.3%
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 17, 2026? No 9 0.995 $9.14 $0.25 +2.8%
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 17, 2026? Yes 100 0.090 $9.00 $0.40 +4.7%
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 17, 2026? Yes 100 0.055 $5.50 $2.50 +83.3%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 100 0.043 $4.25 $0.45 +11.8%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes 100 0.040 $3.95 $-0.05 -1.2%
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 20 0.037 $0.75 $-0.09 -10.7%