| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
1,065 |
0.996 |
$1,060.17 |
$176.97 |
+20.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
1,128 |
0.900 |
$1,015.09 |
$125.04 |
+14.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,163 |
0.835 |
$970.93 |
$-17.44 |
-1.8% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? |
Yes |
591 |
0.991 |
$585.84 |
$268.38 |
+84.5% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
498 |
0.951 |
$473.44 |
$26.00 |
+5.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
672 |
0.690 |
$463.48 |
$-46.67 |
-9.1% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
398 |
0.983 |
$391.16 |
$17.65 |
+4.7% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
332 |
0.982 |
$326.07 |
$26.41 |
+8.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
520 |
0.464 |
$241.29 |
$-35.88 |
-12.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
608 |
0.365 |
$221.88 |
$-57.48 |
-20.6% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
302 |
0.715 |
$215.70 |
$58.42 |
+37.1% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
216 |
0.987 |
$213.30 |
$14.63 |
+7.4% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
286 |
0.685 |
$196.03 |
$13.12 |
+7.2% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? |
No |
193 |
0.946 |
$182.46 |
$13.10 |
+7.7% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
518 |
0.295 |
$152.79 |
$-57.26 |
-27.3% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
151 |
0.835 |
$125.91 |
$3.77 |
+3.1% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? |
Yes |
123 |
0.715 |
$87.78 |
$5.52 |
+6.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
89 |
0.976 |
$86.69 |
$16.49 |
+23.5% |
| Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? |
No |
112 |
0.750 |
$83.72 |
$-4.47 |
-5.1% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
176 |
0.405 |
$71.32 |
$-36.81 |
-34.0% |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31? |
Yes |
72 |
0.955 |
$68.77 |
$35.26 |
+105.3% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
202 |
0.325 |
$65.56 |
$-25.53 |
-28.0% |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? |
No |
150 |
0.400 |
$60.03 |
$28.52 |
+90.5% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? |
No |
69 |
0.820 |
$56.68 |
$2.33 |
+4.3% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? |
No |
60 |
0.885 |
$52.78 |
$8.05 |
+18.0% |