| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
1,065 |
0.993 |
$1,057.51 |
$174.31 |
+19.7% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
1,128 |
0.885 |
$998.17 |
$108.12 |
+12.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,163 |
0.835 |
$970.93 |
$-17.44 |
-1.8% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? |
Yes |
591 |
0.990 |
$585.25 |
$267.79 |
+84.4% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
498 |
0.959 |
$477.43 |
$29.98 |
+6.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
672 |
0.680 |
$456.83 |
$-53.32 |
-10.5% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
398 |
0.985 |
$391.75 |
$18.25 |
+4.9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
332 |
0.981 |
$325.74 |
$26.08 |
+8.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
520 |
0.448 |
$232.71 |
$-44.46 |
-16.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
608 |
0.365 |
$221.88 |
$-57.48 |
-20.6% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
302 |
0.715 |
$215.70 |
$58.42 |
+37.1% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
216 |
0.987 |
$213.30 |
$14.63 |
+7.4% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
286 |
0.685 |
$196.03 |
$13.12 |
+7.2% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? |
No |
193 |
0.946 |
$182.46 |
$13.10 |
+7.7% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
518 |
0.295 |
$152.79 |
$-57.26 |
-27.3% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
151 |
0.835 |
$125.91 |
$3.77 |
+3.1% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? |
Yes |
123 |
0.715 |
$87.78 |
$5.52 |
+6.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
89 |
0.976 |
$86.69 |
$16.49 |
+23.5% |
| Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? |
No |
112 |
0.745 |
$83.16 |
$-5.02 |
-5.7% |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31? |
Yes |
72 |
0.950 |
$68.41 |
$34.90 |
+104.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
176 |
0.380 |
$66.92 |
$-41.21 |
-38.1% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
202 |
0.325 |
$65.56 |
$-25.53 |
-28.0% |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? |
No |
150 |
0.400 |
$60.03 |
$28.52 |
+90.5% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? |
No |
69 |
0.820 |
$56.68 |
$2.33 |
+4.3% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
54 |
0.983 |
$53.25 |
$4.55 |
+9.3% |