| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.760 |
$304.00 |
$100.00 |
+49.0% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? |
Yes |
539 |
0.425 |
$229.25 |
$-36.00 |
-13.6% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
No |
300 |
0.490 |
$146.99 |
$-9.00 |
-5.8% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.705 |
$141.00 |
$-16.50 |
-10.5% |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? |
No |
130 |
0.885 |
$114.80 |
$16.81 |
+17.1% |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? |
No |
761 |
0.141 |
$106.93 |
$-2.36 |
-2.2% |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? |
No |
821 |
0.105 |
$86.20 |
$-321.81 |
-78.9% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? |
No |
213 |
0.400 |
$85.29 |
$8.66 |
+11.3% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? |
OpenAI |
608 |
0.130 |
$79.02 |
$-59.56 |
-43.0% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.255 |
$76.50 |
$-19.50 |
-20.3% |
| Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? |
Yes |
785 |
0.092 |
$72.22 |
$-4.81 |
-6.2% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? |
No |
65 |
0.595 |
$38.53 |
$4.72 |
+14.0% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? |
No |
44 |
0.852 |
$37.31 |
$4.65 |
+14.2% |
| Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? |
Yes |
161 |
0.195 |
$31.38 |
$0.22 |
+0.7% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.825 |
$25.64 |
$8.48 |
+49.4% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
Yes |
136 |
0.124 |
$16.89 |
$-6.17 |
-26.8% |
| Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31? |
Microsoft |
22 |
0.635 |
$13.69 |
$6.36 |
+86.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
187 |
0.051 |
$9.53 |
$-28.98 |
-75.2% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? |
Yes |
125 |
0.059 |
$7.38 |
$3.50 |
+90.3% |
| Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? |
Yes |
1,271 |
0.003 |
$3.18 |
$-9.38 |
-74.7% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
217 |
0.012 |
$2.60 |
$-0.65 |
-20.0% |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.780 |
$2.34 |
$0.96 |
+69.6% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
Yes |
7 |
0.193 |
$1.28 |
$0.42 |
+48.1% |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
676 |
0.002 |
$1.01 |
$-1.01 |
-50.0% |
| Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.019 |
$0.98 |
$-12.11 |
-92.5% |