| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.710 |
$284.00 |
$80.00 |
+39.2% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? |
Yes |
539 |
0.418 |
$225.74 |
$-39.51 |
-14.9% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
No |
300 |
0.495 |
$148.49 |
$-7.50 |
-4.8% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.695 |
$138.98 |
$-18.52 |
-11.8% |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? |
No |
130 |
0.885 |
$114.80 |
$16.81 |
+17.1% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? |
OpenAI |
608 |
0.180 |
$109.41 |
$-29.17 |
-21.0% |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? |
No |
761 |
0.141 |
$106.93 |
$-2.36 |
-2.2% |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? |
No |
821 |
0.105 |
$86.20 |
$-321.81 |
-78.9% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? |
No |
213 |
0.400 |
$85.29 |
$8.66 |
+11.3% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.250 |
$75.00 |
$-21.00 |
-21.9% |
| Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? |
Yes |
785 |
0.092 |
$72.22 |
$-4.81 |
-6.2% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? |
No |
65 |
0.595 |
$38.53 |
$4.72 |
+14.0% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? |
No |
44 |
0.839 |
$36.74 |
$4.08 |
+12.5% |
| Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? |
Yes |
161 |
0.200 |
$32.18 |
$1.02 |
+3.3% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.825 |
$25.64 |
$8.48 |
+49.4% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
Yes |
136 |
0.139 |
$18.79 |
$-4.27 |
-18.5% |
| Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31? |
Microsoft |
22 |
0.630 |
$13.58 |
$6.25 |
+85.3% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
187 |
0.054 |
$10.12 |
$-28.40 |
-73.7% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? |
Yes |
125 |
0.060 |
$7.50 |
$3.63 |
+93.5% |
| Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? |
Yes |
1,271 |
0.005 |
$6.99 |
$-5.57 |
-44.3% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
217 |
0.011 |
$2.49 |
$-0.76 |
-23.3% |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.780 |
$2.34 |
$0.96 |
+69.6% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
Yes |
7 |
0.193 |
$1.28 |
$0.42 |
+48.1% |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
676 |
0.002 |
$1.01 |
$-1.01 |
-50.0% |
| Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.019 |
$0.96 |
$-12.13 |
-92.7% |