PnL (30d)

−$93

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$19

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-26.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

29%

96W / 236L · 44 open

Win Return (30d)

33%

122W / 247L · 7 open

Trades (30d)

376

across 88 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$1.23

avg win $4 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.43

$70 won / $163 lost

Reward / Risk

1.28

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$6

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	28.9% 96W/236L	88	$613
🏛 Politics	—	3	$18
₿ Crypto	28.6% 2W/5L	2	$11
💵 Economy	28.6% 2W/5L	2	$11

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	Yes	600	0.011	$6.90	$0.90	+15.0%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	300	0.013	$4.05	$1.05	+35.0%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?	Yes	300	0.011	$3.45	$0.45	+15.0%
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	300	0.007	$2.25	$-0.75	-25.0%
Trump out as President by August 31?	Yes	300	0.007	$2.25	$-0.75	-25.0%
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?	Yes	300	0.007	$2.10	$-0.90	-30.0%
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	Yes	275	0.001	$0.14	$-2.61	-95.0%