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Trader

0x31ff44447ca8efd8fca70c5f9192c37af6f898b4
PnL (30d)
−$23
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-33.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
5W / 3L · 31 open
Win Return (30d)
92%
36W / 3L
Trades (30d)
39
across 7 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$3.82
avg win $0 · loss $8
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $23 lost
Reward / Risk
0.00
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $445,812

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 62.5% 5W/3L 7 $75
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 18 0.835 $15.07 $2.30 +18.0%
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes 87 0.110 $9.57 $-10.43 -52.2%
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes 35 0.180 $6.35 $-2.47 -28.0%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 6 0.820 $4.65 $0.91 +24.2%
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? Yes 89 0.037 $3.29 $-5.61 -63.0%
X banned in any European country by December 31? Yes 20 0.160 $3.13 $-8.33 -72.7%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? Yes 74 0.042 $3.07 $-16.93 -84.6%
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes 8 0.220 $1.74 $0.08 +4.8%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? Yes 125 0.013 $1.56 $-18.44 -92.2%
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes 4 0.130 $0.54 $-0.96 -63.9%
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 41 0.002 $0.06 $-1.44 -95.9%