| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
1,153 |
0.375 |
$432.53 |
$-132.07 |
-23.4% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,477 |
0.086 |
$126.28 |
$52.38 |
+70.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
230 |
0.533 |
$122.80 |
$4.11 |
+3.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
300 |
0.385 |
$115.50 |
$73.50 |
+175.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
441 |
0.165 |
$72.83 |
$13.16 |
+22.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
1,109 |
0.065 |
$72.06 |
$-38.80 |
-35.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
300 |
0.165 |
$49.50 |
$1.50 |
+3.1% |
| Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? |
Yes |
54 |
0.720 |
$38.78 |
$2.59 |
+7.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Yes |
292 |
0.034 |
$9.94 |
$-48.35 |
-83.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
304 |
0.032 |
$9.58 |
$-1.06 |
-10.0% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.006 |
$9.00 |
$-7.50 |
-45.5% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
159 |
0.051 |
$8.11 |
$-12.60 |
-60.8% |