| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
1,153 |
0.400 |
$461.36 |
$-103.23 |
-18.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
230 |
0.602 |
$138.45 |
$19.77 |
+16.7% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,477 |
0.086 |
$126.28 |
$52.38 |
+70.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
300 |
0.385 |
$115.50 |
$73.50 |
+175.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
441 |
0.175 |
$77.24 |
$17.57 |
+29.4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
1,109 |
0.065 |
$72.06 |
$-38.80 |
-35.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
300 |
0.155 |
$46.50 |
$-1.50 |
-3.1% |
| Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? |
Yes |
54 |
0.745 |
$40.13 |
$3.94 |
+10.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Yes |
292 |
0.031 |
$9.06 |
$-49.22 |
-84.5% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.006 |
$9.00 |
$-7.50 |
-45.5% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
159 |
0.056 |
$8.84 |
$-11.87 |
-57.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
304 |
0.029 |
$8.66 |
$-1.98 |
-18.6% |