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Trader leaderboard/taerv534

taerv534

0x30f91b6df5a62ab2e504045e25fd449a23affbfc
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$68
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$104
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-16.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
2W / 489L · 133 open
Win Return (30d)
18%
114W / 510L
Trades (30d)
624
across 21 markets · ~30 per market
EV / position
−$4.89
avg win $2 · loss $6
Profit Factor
0.06
$4 won / $73 lost
Reward / Risk
0.36
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $34,001 · all-time $5,464,473

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 2.9% 19W/629L 74 $1,865
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/1L 7 $69
🏛 Politics 4 $80
🔬 Science 3 $27
💵 Economy 3 $25
₿ Crypto 2 $8
🎬 Culture 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

82 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 23,389 0.021 $500.52 $344.94 +221.7%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 32,240 0.015 $467.48 $-147.27 -24.0%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 316 0.905 $285.68 $65.91 +30.0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 282 0.845 $238.29 $122.66 +106.1%
US military draft authorized in 2026? No 192 0.954 $183.37 $29.55 +19.2%
Will US annex any territory in 2026? No 152 0.967 $147.39 $25.40 +20.8%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? No 148 0.980 $145.04 $118.16 +439.6%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 145 0.935 $135.57 $63.06 +86.9%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 131 0.945 $123.79 $24.11 +24.2%
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No 141 0.875 $123.00 $20.87 +20.4%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No 111 0.974 $108.34 $43.23 +66.4%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 110 0.977 $107.42 $10.46 +10.8%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No 96 0.955 $91.68 $11.04 +13.7%
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No 112 0.740 $82.88 $27.84 +50.6%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 5,985 0.013 $80.80 $20.65 +34.3%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 96 0.745 $71.52 $20.32 +39.7%
China coup attempt before 2027? No 69 0.970 $66.90 $8.30 +14.2%
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No 69 0.950 $65.55 $20.09 +44.2%
Is Earth flat? No 64 0.990 $63.33 $1.25 +2.0%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 11,232 0.005 $61.78 $4.69 +8.2%
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 64 0.952 $60.90 $19.94 +48.7%
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 3,871 0.015 $60.00 $-44.78 -42.7%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 14,335 0.004 $50.17 $-18.59 -27.0%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No 52 0.905 $47.05 $7.06 +17.6%
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No 48 0.967 $46.42 $6.42 +16.0%