| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
23,389 |
0.026 |
$619.80 |
$464.22 |
+298.4% |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
32,240 |
0.017 |
$531.96 |
$-82.79 |
-13.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
316 |
0.905 |
$285.68 |
$65.91 |
+30.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
282 |
0.845 |
$238.29 |
$122.66 |
+106.1% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? |
No |
192 |
0.954 |
$183.37 |
$29.55 |
+19.2% |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026? |
No |
152 |
0.967 |
$147.39 |
$25.40 |
+20.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? |
No |
148 |
0.982 |
$145.26 |
$118.38 |
+440.4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
145 |
0.935 |
$135.57 |
$63.06 |
+86.9% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
131 |
0.945 |
$123.79 |
$24.11 |
+24.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? |
No |
141 |
0.875 |
$123.00 |
$20.87 |
+20.4% |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? |
No |
111 |
0.974 |
$108.34 |
$43.23 |
+66.4% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
110 |
0.976 |
$107.31 |
$10.36 |
+10.7% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
96 |
0.955 |
$91.68 |
$11.04 |
+13.7% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
5,985 |
0.015 |
$86.79 |
$26.63 |
+44.3% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
No |
112 |
0.735 |
$82.32 |
$27.28 |
+49.6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
96 |
0.745 |
$71.52 |
$20.32 |
+39.7% |
| China coup attempt before 2027? |
No |
69 |
0.970 |
$66.90 |
$8.30 |
+14.2% |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? |
No |
69 |
0.955 |
$65.89 |
$20.43 |
+45.0% |
| Is Earth flat? |
No |
64 |
0.990 |
$63.33 |
$1.25 |
+2.0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
3,871 |
0.016 |
$61.94 |
$-42.85 |
-40.9% |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
11,232 |
0.005 |
$61.78 |
$4.69 |
+8.2% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
64 |
0.952 |
$60.90 |
$19.94 |
+48.7% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? |
OpenAI |
288 |
0.180 |
$51.85 |
$-14.72 |
-22.1% |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
14,335 |
0.004 |
$50.17 |
$-18.59 |
-27.0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
52 |
0.905 |
$47.05 |
$7.06 |
+17.6% |