| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
511 |
0.165 |
$84.32 |
$-31.11 |
-27.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
100 |
0.825 |
$82.50 |
$0.50 |
+0.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
90 |
0.790 |
$71.10 |
$5.40 |
+8.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
100 |
0.695 |
$69.49 |
$0.49 |
+0.7% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.605 |
$60.50 |
$-0.50 |
-0.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
75 |
0.285 |
$21.37 |
$-3.38 |
-13.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? |
Yes |
248 |
0.075 |
$18.62 |
$-63.89 |
-77.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
89 |
0.185 |
$16.51 |
$-26.52 |
-61.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.485 |
$14.55 |
$-0.07 |
-0.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
200 |
0.065 |
$13.00 |
$-5.00 |
-27.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
Yes |
75 |
0.135 |
$10.12 |
$-10.87 |
-51.8% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
402 |
0.022 |
$9.04 |
$-16.64 |
-64.8% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
Yes |
101 |
0.022 |
$2.27 |
$-4.78 |
-67.8% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? |
Yes |
450 |
0.004 |
$2.02 |
$-3.82 |
-65.4% |