| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
511 |
0.205 |
$104.76 |
$-10.67 |
-9.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
100 |
0.835 |
$83.50 |
$1.50 |
+1.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
100 |
0.705 |
$70.50 |
$1.50 |
+2.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
90 |
0.750 |
$67.50 |
$1.80 |
+2.7% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.605 |
$60.50 |
$-0.50 |
-0.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
75 |
0.280 |
$21.00 |
$-3.75 |
-15.2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? |
Yes |
248 |
0.075 |
$18.62 |
$-63.89 |
-77.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
89 |
0.195 |
$17.41 |
$-25.63 |
-59.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.495 |
$14.85 |
$0.23 |
+1.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
200 |
0.065 |
$13.00 |
$-5.00 |
-27.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
Yes |
75 |
0.130 |
$9.75 |
$-11.25 |
-53.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
402 |
0.022 |
$9.04 |
$-16.64 |
-64.8% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
Yes |
101 |
0.025 |
$2.52 |
$-4.53 |
-64.2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? |
Yes |
450 |
0.004 |
$2.02 |
$-3.82 |
-65.4% |