PnL (30d)

+$251

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$13

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+6.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

89%

16W / 2L · 6 open

Win Return (30d)

71%

17W / 7L

Trades (30d)

24

across 17 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$19.29

avg win $24 · loss $7

Profit Factor

18.34

$265 won / $14 lost

Reward / Risk

3.34

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	56.6% 77W/59L	58	$21,810
🎬 Culture	93.3% 14W/1L	17	$2,489
🏛 Politics	100.0% 8W/0L	12	$2,762
🤖 Tech	87.5% 7W/1L	7	$1,307
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$580

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	1,761	0.785	$1,382.52	$358.53	+35.0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	1,562	0.675	$1,054.69	$54.69	+5.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	Yes	930	0.999	$928.49	$341.12	+58.1%
Will Trump say "Moscow" in August?	No	369	0.665	$245.40	$10.27	+4.4%
Will Trump say "Moon" this week?	No	251	0.505	$126.57	$-13.43	-9.6%
Will Trump say "Pearl Harbor" this week?	No	95	0.535	$50.56	$-19.44	-27.8%
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	No	152	0.140	$21.34	$-7.66	-26.4%