PnL (30d)

−$375

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$563

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

57%

77W / 59L · 21 open

Win Return (30d)

55%

86W / 71L

Trades (30d)

157

across 58 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$7.65

avg win $37 · loss $120

Profit Factor

0.78

$1,309 won / $1,684 lost

Reward / Risk

0.31

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$480

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	56.6% 77W/59L	58	$21,810
🎬 Culture	93.3% 14W/1L	17	$2,489
🏛 Politics	100.0% 8W/0L	12	$2,762
🤖 Tech	87.5% 7W/1L	7	$1,307
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$580

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	1,761	0.785	$1,382.52	$358.53	+35.0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	1,562	0.675	$1,054.69	$54.69	+5.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	Yes	930	0.999	$928.49	$341.12	+58.1%
Will Trump say "Moscow" in August?	No	369	0.665	$245.40	$10.27	+4.4%
Will Trump say "Moon" this week?	No	251	0.485	$121.55	$-18.45	-13.2%
Will Trump say "Pearl Harbor" this week?	No	95	0.535	$50.56	$-19.44	-27.8%
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	No	152	0.125	$19.05	$-9.95	-34.3%