Trader
0x2fe6d75bc831f9e64429788a4f5a404753bf1d65
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$4
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
68%
34W / 16L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
34W / 17L
Trades (30d)
51
across 8 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$0.57
avg win $5 · loss $10
Profit Factor
1.21
$23 won / $19 lost
Reward / Risk
0.48
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,334 · all-time $90,274
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
279 |
0.155 |
$43.32 |
$4.73 |
+12.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
637 |
0.033 |
$20.71 |
$1.48 |
+7.7% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.731 |
$11.64 |
$1.73 |
+17.4% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.982 |
$10.54 |
$0.57 |
+5.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
19 |
0.454 |
$8.74 |
$-0.92 |
-9.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
84 |
0.019 |
$1.64 |
$-7.39 |
-81.9% |