Trader
0x2fe6d75bc831f9e64429788a4f5a404753bf1d65
PnL (30d)
−$415
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
44%
299W / 377L · 32 open
Win Return (30d)
45%
313W / 378L · 17 open
Trades (30d)
708
across 249 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$1.77
avg win $29 · loss $27
Profit Factor
0.88
$3,082 won / $3,498 lost
Reward / Risk
1.09
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$276
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,334 · all-time $90,274
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
279 |
0.165 |
$46.11 |
$7.53 |
+19.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
637 |
0.035 |
$22.56 |
$3.33 |
+17.3% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.724 |
$11.53 |
$1.62 |
+16.3% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.983 |
$10.54 |
$0.57 |
+5.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
19 |
0.540 |
$10.41 |
$0.74 |
+7.7% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
84 |
0.019 |
$1.64 |
$-7.39 |
-81.9% |