PnL (30d)

−$5,313

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-7.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

37%

232W / 394L · 28 open

Win Return (30d)

37%

232W / 394L · 28 open

Trades (30d)

654

across 90 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

−$64.01

avg win $286 · loss $479

Profit Factor

0.71

$12,887 won / $18,200 lost

Reward / Risk

0.60

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4,574

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	41.7% 387W/540L	133	$305,544
⚽ Sports	29.2% 14W/34L	10	$5,772

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	6,366	0.350	$2,228.16	$409.70	+22.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	No	13,038	0.155	$2,020.85	$-291.82	-12.6%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	1,259	0.820	$1,031.99	$504.89	+95.8%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	2,914	0.345	$1,005.04	$296.93	+41.9%
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	No	1,283	0.755	$968.38	$70.79	+7.9%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	1,374	0.515	$707.57	$54.54	+8.4%
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	3,819	0.075	$286.40	$-53.81	-15.8%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	174	0.850	$147.90	$1.74	+1.2%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	Yes	70	0.092	$6.44	$0.84	+15.0%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	8	0.165	$1.24	$-1.24	-50.0%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?	No	1	0.835	$0.83	$0.23	+39.2%